William Bernstein的智慧型資產配置 P49:
那些忽視投資史的人註定會重蹈歷史覆轍,
應該要研究各類資產的歷史投資報酬與風險,
一項資產的長期投資報酬結果(20年以上)
是該資產未來報酬與風險的適當指引
1972年初到2015年底
總共有44個完整年度
25個移動20年
取了以下13種資產類別為例
13×25=325,共需要抓325次資料
實在該用移動30年為例的 ><“
ETF名稱,版上幾乎都有介紹
若不清楚代號的意義,
可先看這幾篇文章:
TD ameritrade的免佣ETF (續2,REITS)
ETF | ||
US Stock Market | VTI | |
Large Cap Value | VTV | VYM |
Large Cap Blend | IVV | |
Large Cap Growth | VUG | MGK |
Small Cap Blend | VBK+VBR | |
REIT | VNQ+VNQi | |
Intl Stock Market | VEU | VEA+VWO |
Intl Developed Markets | VEA | VGK+VPL |
Emerging Markets | VWO | |
Intl Pacific Region | VPL | |
Intl Europe | VGK | |
High Yield Bond | JNK | |
Gold | GLD |
報酬率最高跟標準差最低的類別,以黃底表示
報酬率最低跟標準差最高的類別,以紅底表示
裡面就有對投資黃金的精采論述
黃金漲跌有時,但以跌為主
從1973年末開始算,
至2009年底
世界股市年均報酬9.1%
標普500指數年均報酬10.5%
10年期美國政府公債年均報酬8.2%
令人驚訝的是,
超級安全的美債績效也優於黃金
同時期,黃金年均報酬6.8%
不僅報酬率較差,黃金還傾向大起大落
自1973年來,僅有六段時間顯著上漲
上漲期間僅占15%
相對地,股票,債券,房地產
都是上漲期間多於下跌
剔除這六段上漲期,
黃金年均報酬-3.6%
從1982~2003,23年期間,
黃金都是虧錢的
你是捕抓市場趨勢的高手嗎?
以下資料多次顯示
黃金報酬率最低,標準差(波動風險)又最高,
實在讓人嘆氣
基本知識都沒有,
靠自己的通靈能力選基金比較重要?
CAGR:
年均複合增長率(Compound Annual Growth Rate)
= (現有價值/基礎價值)(1/N) – 1
網站還有提供
Initial Balance, Final Balance
由這兩個數字與公式
計算出來的IRR同CAGR,
(除了高收益債以外)
所以該網站高收益債資料
Final Balance與CAGR (IRR<CAGR)
其中一項資訊是錯的
先以較高CAGR來看,
若有錯誤請再告知
總共有25+2個表,
我將25次平均跟
1972~2015 44年績效放在前兩張
由這些資料分析出來的溢酬機率
則如下一篇文章:各類風險溢酬與資產配置建議
25次移動20年平均 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 11.95% | 16.77% | 36.12% | -22.51% | 1.00 | 0.56 |
Large Cap Value | 12.59% | 15.85% | 40.24% | -22.12% | 0.93 | 0.56 |
Large Cap Blend | 12.01% | 16.63% | 37.20% | -22.78% | 0.99 | 0.55 |
Large Cap Growth | 11.65% | 19.92% | 41.84% | -26.00% | 0.95 | 0.48 |
Small Cap Blend | 12.51% | 19.56% | 47.99% | -25.93% | 0.84 | 0.50 |
REIT | 12.56% | 16.84% | 37.94% | -23.47% | 0.48 | 0.31 |
Intl Stock Market | 11.00% | 22.32% | 57.13% | -29.02% | 0.56 | 1.00 |
Intl Developed Markets | 9.81% | 21.78% | 57.13% | -29.13% | 0.56 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 17.14% | 32.02% | 73.82% | -32.24% | 0.46 | 0.83 |
Intl Pacific Region | 7.49% | 28.08% | 79.35% | -34.44% | 0.35 | 0.90 |
Intl Europe | 11.98% | 21.06% | 61.66% | -25.74% | 0.72 | 0.84 |
High Yield Bond | 8.76% | 9.95% | 27.23% | -10.79% | 0.72 | 0.57 |
Gold | 3.26% | 20.75% | 58.81% | -26.97% | -0.15 | 0.22 |
1972~2015 (44年) | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 10.15% | 17.93% | 38.44% | -37.04% | 1 | 0.66 |
Large Cap Value | 11.49% | 17.72% | 56.87% | -35.97% | 0.93 | 0.62 |
Large Cap Blend | 10.07% | 17.61% | 37.45% | -37.02% | 0.99 | 0.65 |
Large Cap Growth | 9.52% | 20.24% | 42.21% | -38.32% | 0.96 | 0.6 |
Small Cap Blend | 11.80% | 21.83% | 57.04% | -36.07% | 0.86 | 0.56 |
REIT | 11.81% | 18.04% | 47.29% | -37.05% | 0.59 | 0.4 |
Intl Stock Market | 9.73% | 22.65% | 68.33% | -44.10% | 0.66 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 8.91% | 21.87% | 69.44% | -41.27% | 0.66 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 14.48% | 31.73% | 75.98% | -52.81% | 0.54 | 0.87 |
Intl Pacific Region | 8.79% | 29.79% | 106.99% | -34.47% | 0.44 | 0.86 |
Intl Europe | 9.77% | 21.62% | 79.32% | -44.73% | 0.75 | 0.88 |
High Yield Bond | 7.37% | 9.80% | 29.01% | -21.29% | 0.76 | 0.67 |
Gold | 7.07% | 28.94% | 125.65% | -32.87% | -0.24 | -0.02 |
1. 1972~1991 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 11.51% | 18.27% | 38.44% | -27.34% | 1 | 0.57 |
Large Cap Value | 14.29% | 18.56% | 56.87% | -23.26% | 0.91 | 0.52 |
Large Cap Blend | 11.47% | 17.45% | 36.95% | -26.63% | 0.99 | 0.59 |
Large Cap Growth | 10.37% | 20.10% | 40.89% | -29.36% | 0.97 | 0.54 |
Small Cap Blend | 13.86% | 25.33% | 57.04% | -31.06% | 0.84 | 0.4 |
REIT | 12.70% | 17.96% | 47.29% | -21.56% | 0.76 | 0.39 |
Intl Stock Market | 15.25% | 24.08% | 68.33% | -23.74% | 0.57 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 13.56% | 24.00% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.55 | 1 |
Emerging Markets\ | 23.86% | 28.79% | 64.31% | -25.71% | 0.61 | 0.89 |
Intl Pacific Region | 17.08% | 34.98% | 106.99% | -34.47% | 0.38 | 0.85 |
Intl Europe | 12.75% | 23.01% | 79.32% | -23.01% | 0.62 | 0.84 |
High Yield Bond | 10.82% | 12.36% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.77 | 0.62 |
Gold | 10.59% | 39.29% | 125.65% | -32.87% | -0.33 | -0.22 |
2. 1973~1992 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 11.16% | 18.27% | 38.44% | -27.34% | 1 | 0.57 |
Large Cap Value | 14.04% | 18.55% | 56.87% | -23.26% | 0.91 | 0.52 |
Large Cap Blend | 10.91% | 17.43% | 36.95% | -26.63% | 0.99 | 0.58 |
Large Cap Growth | 9.57% | 20.05% | 40.89% | -29.36% | 0.97 | 0.54 |
Small Cap Blend | 14.57% | 25.16% | 57.04% | -31.06% | 0.85 | 0.42 |
REIT | 13.03% | 17.90% | 47.29% | -21.56% | 0.77 | 0.4 |
Intl Stock Market | 12.90% | 24.26% | 68.33% | -23.74% | 0.57 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 11.12% | 24.29% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.55 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 22.01% | 28.49% | 64.31% | -25.71% | 0.62 | 0.88 |
Intl Pacific Region | 11.77% | 29.70% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.42 | 0.92 |
Intl Europe | 11.76% | 23.36% | 79.32% | -23.01% | 0.62 | 0.86 |
High Yield Bond | 11.24% | 11.49% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.73 | 0.51 |
Gold | 8.08% | 38.81% | 125.65% | -32.87% | -0.34 | -0.23 |
3. 1974~1993 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 12.85% | 16.78% | 38.44% | -27.34% | 1 | 0.49 |
Large Cap Value | 15.21% | 17.99% | 56.87% | -23.26% | 0.92 | 0.47 |
Large Cap Blend | 12.34% | 16.24% | 36.95% | -26.63% | 0.99 | 0.51 |
Large Cap Growth | 11.00% | 18.65% | 40.89% | -29.36% | 0.96 | 0.44 |
Small Cap Blend | 17.72% | 22.43% | 57.04% | -20.08% | 0.82 | 0.32 |
REIT | 15.02% | 16.45% | 47.29% | -21.56% | 0.72 | 0.33 |
Intl Stock Market | 15.70% | 23.70% | 68.33% | -23.74% | 0.49 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 13.62% | 23.66% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.48 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 26.41% | 28.89% | 74.07% | -25.71% | 0.5 | 0.87 |
Intl Pacific Region | 14.84% | 28.72% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.34 | 0.91 |
Intl Europe | 13.67% | 23.01% | 79.32% | -23.01% | 0.58 | 0.86 |
High Yield Bond | 12.00% | 10.96% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.68 | 0.53 |
Gold | 6.05% | 36.36% | 125.65% | -32.87% | -0.24 | -0.13 |
4. 1975~1994 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 14.65% | 14.13% | 38.44% | -6.18% | 1 | 0.36 |
Large Cap Value | 16.70% | 15.96% | 56.87% | -8.29% | 0.89 | 0.35 |
Large Cap Blend | 14.16% | 13.59% | 36.95% | -7.97% | 0.99 | 0.39 |
Large Cap Growth | 13.11% | 16.04% | 40.89% | -11.49% | 0.94 | 0.3 |
Small Cap Blend | 19.02% | 20.98% | 57.04% | -19.68% | 0.79 | 0.21 |
REIT | 16.59% | 14.26% | 47.29% | -15.58% | 0.61 | 0.17 |
Intl Stock Market | 17.59% | 21.82% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.36 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 15.58% | 21.89% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.35 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 27.79% | 27.31% | 74.07% | -10.97% | 0.39 | 0.83 |
Intl Pacific Region | 16.92% | 27.23% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.2 | 0.9 |
Intl Europe | 15.27% | 21.42% | 79.32% | -10.64% | 0.49 | 0.83 |
High Yield Bond | 10.55% | 11.27% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.73 | 0.56 |
Gold | 3.08% | 33.44% | 125.65% | -32.87% | 0.01 | 0.05 |
5. 1976~1995 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 14.54% | 13.92% | 35.79% | -6.18% | 1 | 0.27 |
Large Cap Value | 15.91% | 13.87% | 43.70% | -8.29% | 0.9 | 0.26 |
Large Cap Blend | 14.18% | 13.64% | 37.45% | -7.97% | 0.99 | 0.28 |
Large Cap Growth | 13.28% | 16.33% | 40.89% | -11.49% | 0.95 | 0.21 |
Small Cap Blend | 18.02% | 19.73% | 57.04% | -19.68% | 0.75 | 0.15 |
REIT | 16.39% | 14.26% | 47.29% | -15.58% | 0.6 | 0.17 |
Intl Stock Market | 16.32% | 21.55% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.27 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 14.47% | 21.53% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.27 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 25.50% | 27.93% | 74.07% | -10.97% | 0.26 | 0.83 |
Intl Pacific Region | 15.72% | 27.45% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.14 | 0.9 |
Intl Europe | 14.35% | 20.54% | 79.32% | -10.64% | 0.42 | 0.82 |
High Yield Bond | 11.30% | 10.96% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.73 | 0.51 |
Gold | 4.79% | 32.49% | 125.65% | -32.87% | 0.09 | 0.1 |
6. 1977~1996 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 14.29% | 13.74% | 35.79% | -6.18% | 1 | 0.29 |
Large Cap Value | 14.96% | 12.42% | 36.94% | -8.29% | 0.93 | 0.36 |
Large Cap Blend | 14.14% | 13.61% | 37.45% | -7.97% | 0.98 | 0.3 |
Large Cap Growth | 13.57% | 16.46% | 40.89% | -11.49% | 0.96 | 0.21 |
Small Cap Blend | 16.35% | 17.66% | 45.76% | -19.68% | 0.75 | 0.25 |
REIT | 15.89% | 13.12% | 35.62% | -15.58% | 0.59 | 0.23 |
Intl Stock Market | 16.57% | 21.40% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.29 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 14.68% | 21.41% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.29 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 25.95% | 27.68% | 74.07% | -10.97% | 0.29 | 0.82 |
Intl Pacific Region | 14.14% | 28.07% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.11 | 0.92 |
Intl Europe | 15.86% | 19.87% | 79.32% | -10.64% | 0.5 | 0.8 |
High Yield Bond | 11.15% | 10.47% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.72 | 0.51 |
Gold | 4.76% | 32.50% | 125.65% | -32.87% | 0.1 | 0.1 |
7. 1978~1997 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 16.10% | 13.37% | 35.79% | -6.18% | 1 | 0.26 |
Large Cap Value | 16.40% | 12.31% | 36.94% | -8.29% | 0.93 | 0.32 |
Large Cap Blend | 16.27% | 13.07% | 37.45% | -5.20% | 0.99 | 0.26 |
Large Cap Growth | 15.95% | 16.06% | 40.89% | -11.49% | 0.95 | 0.17 |
Small Cap Blend | 16.33% | 17.64% | 45.76% | -19.68% | 0.83 | 0.22 |
REIT | 15.71% | 13.06% | 35.62% | -15.58% | 0.65 | 0.22 |
Intl Stock Market | 15.33% | 21.80% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.26 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 13.85% | 21.66% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.26 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 22.42% | 29.12% | 74.07% | -16.82% | 0.25 | 0.83 |
Intl Pacific Region | 11.76% | 29.66% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.02 | 0.92 |
Intl Europe | 15.89% | 19.88% | 79.32% | -10.64% | 0.56 | 0.77 |
High Yield Bond | 11.21% | 10.03% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.7 | 0.49 |
Gold | 2.46% | 32.99% | 125.65% | -32.87% | 0.09 | 0.13 |
8. 1979~1998 |
CAGR
|
Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 16.91% | 13.25% | 35.79% | -6.18% | 1 | 0.3 |
Large Cap Value | 17.02% | 11.89% | 36.94% | -8.29% | 0.92 | 0.4 |
Large Cap Blend | 17.41% | 13.04% | 37.45% | -5.20% | 0.98 | 0.31 |
Large Cap Growth | 17.63% | 16.81% | 42.21% | -11.49% | 0.93 | 0.19 |
Small Cap Blend | 14.97% | 18.15% | 45.76% | -19.68% | 0.8 | 0.21 |
REIT | 14.14% | 14.94% | 35.62% | -16.32% | 0.51 | 0.22 |
Intl Stock Market | 14.42% | 21.38% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.3 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 13.30% | 21.34% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.3 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 18.79% | 30.10% | 74.07% | -18.12% | 0.24 | 0.78 |
Intl Pacific Region | 9.71% | 28.73% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.05 | 0.91 |
Intl Europe | 16.11% | 20.00% | 79.32% | -10.64% | 0.59 | 0.76 |
High Yield Bond | 10.80% | 9.77% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.67 | 0.49 |
Gold | 0.81% | 32.23% | 125.65% | -32.87% | 0.12 | 0.09 |
9. 1980~1999 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 16.96% | 13.27% | 35.79% | -6.18% | 1 | 0.33 |
Large Cap Value | 16.64% | 11.92% | 36.94% | -8.29% | 0.91 | 0.39 |
Large Cap Blend | 17.56% | 13.06% | 37.45% | -5.20% | 0.98 | 0.31 |
Large Cap Growth | 17.87% | 16.93% | 42.21% | -11.49% | 0.93 | 0.22 |
Small Cap Blend | 14.12% | 17.16% | 45.76% | -19.68% | 0.82 | 0.28 |
REIT | 12.18% | 14.71% | 35.42% | -16.32% | 0.46 | 0.23 |
Intl Stock Market | 15.69% | 21.39% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.33 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 14.41% | 21.34% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.33 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 21.56% | 30.92% | 74.07% | -18.12% | 0.28 | 0.78 |
Intl Pacific Region | 12.42% | 30.05% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.1 | 0.9 |
Intl Europe | 16.22% | 19.98% | 79.32% | -10.64% | 0.59 | 0.75 |
High Yield Bond | 10.23% | 9.67% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.62 | 0.45 |
Gold | -3.19% | 14.90% | 21.72% | -32.87% | 0.09 | 0.46 |
10. 1981~2000 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 14.68% | 14.21% | 35.79% | -10.57% | 1 | 0.42 |
Large Cap Value | 15.72% | 12.06% | 36.94% | -8.29% | 0.89 | 0.42 |
Large Cap Blend | 15.39% | 13.99% | 37.45% | -9.06% | 0.99 | 0.4 |
Large Cap Growth | 14.49% | 18.56% | 42.21% | -22.21% | 0.94 | 0.33 |
Small Cap Blend | 12.13% | 16.72% | 45.76% | -19.68% | 0.81 | 0.33 |
REIT | 12.28% | 14.80% | 35.42% | -16.32% | 0.29 | 0.14 |
Intl Stock Market | 13.54% | 22.58% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.42 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 12.39% | 22.33% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.41 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 18.18% | 33.08% | 74.07% | -27.56% | 0.39 | 0.8 |
Intl Pacific Region | 9.07% | 31.05% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.18 | 0.91 |
Intl Europe | 14.96% | 20.80% | 79.32% | -10.64% | 0.66 | 0.78 |
High Yield Bond | 9.50% | 9.78% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.66 | 0.51 |
Gold | -4.14% | 14.38% | 21.72% | -32.87% | 0.04 | 0.45 |
11. 1982~2001 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 14.24% | 14.80% | 35.79% | -10.97% | 1 | 0.48 |
Large Cap Value | 14.93% | 13.21% | 36.94% | -11.88% | 0.9 | 0.49 |
Large Cap Blend | 14.96% | 14.61% | 37.45% | -12.02% | 0.99 | 0.47 |
Large Cap Growth | 14.39% | 18.67% | 42.21% | -22.21% | 0.94 | 0.38 |
Small Cap Blend | 12.20% | 16.67% | 45.76% | -19.68% | 0.79 | 0.34 |
REIT | 12.62% | 14.70% | 35.42% | -16.32% | 0.25 | 0.12 |
Intl Stock Market | 12.30% | 23.72% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.48 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 11.08% | 23.54% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.47 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 17.81% | 33.30% | 74.07% | -27.56% | 0.41 | 0.8
|
Intl Pacific Region | 7.01% | 32.26% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.27 | 0.92 |
Intl Europe | 14.31% | 21.56% | 79.32% | -20.30% | 0.68 | 0.81 |
High Yield Bond | 9.10% | 9.62% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.66 | 0.53 |
Gold | -2.19% | 12.56% | 21.72% | -21.72% | -0.14 | 0.39 |
12. 1983~2002 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 11.86% | 16.78% | 35.79% | -20.96% | 1 | 0.55 |
Large Cap Value | 12.57% | 15.49% | 36.94% | -20.91% | 0.92 | 0.57 |
Large Cap Blend | 12.46% | 16.83% | 37.45% | -22.15% | 0.99 | 0.55 |
Large Cap Growth | 11.82% | 20.62% | 42.21% | -23.68% | 0.95 | 0.46 |
Small Cap Blend | 9.74% | 18.03% | 45.76% | -20.02% | 0.83 | 0.44 |
REIT | 11.74% | 14.74% | 35.42% | -16.32% | 0.28 | 0.17 |
Intl Stock Market | 11.45% | 24.40% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.55 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 10.21% | 24.22% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.54 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 17.37% | 33.59% | 74.07% | -27.56% | 0.47 | 0.8
|
Intl Pacific Region | 6.84% | 32.35% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.32 | 0.92 |
Intl Europe | 12.89% | 22.77% | 79.32% | -20.30% | 0.74 | 0.82 |
High Yield Bond | 8.68% | 9.51% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.66 | 0.55 |
Gold | -1.76% | 13.45% | 24.96% | -21.72% | -0.35 | 0.27 |
13. 1984~2003 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 12.28% | 17.17% | 35.79% | -20.96% | 1 | 0.58 |
Large Cap Value | 12.75% | 15.72% | 36.94% | -20.91% | 0.93 | 0.59 |
Large Cap Blend | 12.78% | 17.08% | 37.45% | -22.15% | 0.99 | 0.56 |
Large Cap Growth | 12.29% | 20.80% | 42.21% | -23.68% | 0.95 | 0.48 |
Small Cap Blend | 10.42% | 19.24% | 45.76% | -20.02% | 0.83 | 0.48 |
REIT | 11.96% | 15.11% | 35.65% | -16.32% | 0.32 | 0.22 |
Intl Stock Market | 12.08% | 24.99% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.58 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 10.81% | 24.79% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.56 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 18.47% | 34.49% | 74.07% | -27.56% | 0.49 | 0.82 |
Intl Pacific Region | 7.34% | 32.76% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.34 | 0.92 |
Intl Europe | 13.61% | 23.34% | 79.32% | -20.30% | 0.75 | 0.83 |
High Yield Bond | 9.11% | 9.43% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.68 | 0.57 |
Gold | 0.01% | 13.62% | 24.96% | -21.72% | -0.23 | 0.37 |
14. 1985~2004 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 12.71% | 17.04% | 35.79% | -20.96% | 1 | 0.57 |
Large Cap Value | 13.03% | 15.69% | 36.94% | -20.91% | 0.93 | 0.59 |
Large Cap Blend | 13.02% | 17.00% | 37.45% | -22.15% | 0.99 | 0.56 |
Large Cap Growth | 12.75% | 20.55% | 42.21% | -23.68% | 0.95 | 0.47 |
Small Cap Blend | 11.86% | 18.75% | 45.76% | -20.02% | 0.83 | 0.48 |
REIT | 12.42% | 15.55% | 35.65% | -16.32% | 0.33 | 0.24 |
Intl Stock Market | 12.71% | 24.97% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.57 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 11.43% | 24.80% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.56 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 19.44% | 34.29% | 74.07% | -27.56% | 0.49 | 0.81 |
Intl Pacific Region | 7.60% | 32.80% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.34 | 0.92 |
Intl Europe | 14.63% | 23.10% | 79.32% | -20.30% | 0.75 | 0.83 |
High Yield Bond | 9.08% | 9.18% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.68 | 0.57 |
Gold | 1.33% | 12.76% | 24.96% | -21.72% | -0.3 | 0.37 |
15. 1986~2005 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 11.48% | 16.58% | 35.79% | -20.96% | 1 | 0.53 |
Large Cap Value | 11.88% | 15.23% | 36.94% | -20.91% | 0.93 | 0.54 |
Large Cap Blend | 11.75% | 16.64% | 37.45% | -22.15% | 0.99 | 0.51 |
Large Cap Growth | 11.45% | 20.20% | 42.21% | -23.68% | 0.95 | 0.43 |
Small Cap Blend | 10.76% | 18.33% | 45.76% | -20.02% | 0.82 | 0.44 |
REIT | 12.08% | 15.50% | 35.65% | -16.32% | 0.32 | 0.22 |
Intl Stock Market | 11.00% | 22.98% | 68.33% | -21.54% | 0.53 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 9.67% | 22.72% | 69.44% | -23.41% | 0.51 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 18.14% | 33.04% | 74.07% | -27.56% | 0.44 | 0.8 |
Intl Pacific Region | 6.93% | 32.29% | 93.30% | -34.47% | 0.3 | 0.94 |
Intl Europe | 11.83% | 17.82% | 44.11% | -20.30% | 0.79 | 0.82 |
High Yield Bond | 8.16% | 8.81% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.66 | 0.5 |
Gold | 1.90% | 13.22% | 24.96% | -21.72% | -0.34 | 0.37 |
16. 1987~2006 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 11.46% | 16.58% | 35.79% | -20.96% | 1 | 0.6 |
Large Cap Value | 11.99% | 15.30% | 36.94% | -20.91% | 0.92 | 0.6 |
Large Cap Blend | 11.64% | 16.61% | 37.45% | -22.15% | 0.99 | 0.57 |
Large Cap Growth | 11.14% | 20.22% | 42.21% | -23.68% | 0.94 | 0.48 |
Small Cap Blend | 11.28% | 18.28% | 45.76% | -20.02% | 0.83 | 0.59 |
REIT | 12.79% | 16.22% | 35.65% | -16.32% | 0.31 | 0.25 |
Intl Stock Market | 9.44% | 19.32% | 40.34% | -21.54% | 0.6 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 8.07% | 18.64% | 38.67% | -23.41% | 0.6 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 16.76% | 31.64% | 74.07% | -27.56% | 0.45 | 0.8 |
Intl Pacific Region | 4.05% | 25.89% | 57.05% | -34.47% | 0.34 | 0.9 |
Intl Europe | 11.40% | 16.99% | 38.70% | -20.30% | 0.82 | 0.79 |
High Yield Bond | 7.75% | 8.59% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.66 | 0.46 |
Gold | 1.94% | 13.31% | 24.96% | -21.72% | -0.33 | 0.29 |
17. 1988~2007 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 11.68% | 16.46% | 35.79% | -20.96% | 1 | 0.64 |
Large Cap Value | 11.98% | 15.31% | 36.94% | -20.91% | 0.92 | 0.63 |
Large Cap Blend | 11.67% | 16.59% | 37.45% | -22.15% | 0.99 | 0.59 |
Large Cap Growth | 11.53% | 20.13% | 42.21% | -23.68% | 0.94 | 0.51 |
Small Cap Blend | 11.87% | 17.77% | 45.76% | -20.02% | 0.83 | 0.66 |
REIT | 12.00% | 17.17% | 35.65% | -16.46% | 0.3 | 0.27 |
Intl Stock Market | 8.94% | 19.01% | 40.34% | -21.54% | 0.64 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 7.45% | 18.32% | 38.67% | -23.41% | 0.65 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 16.91% | 31.74% | 74.07% | -27.56% | 0.45 | 0.8 |
Intl Pacific Region | 2.57% | 24.75% | 57.05% | -34.47% | 0.41 | 0.89 |
Intl Europe | 11.91% | 16.86% | 38.70% | -20.30% | 0.81 | 0.83 |
High Yield Bond | 7.72% | 8.61% | 29.01% | -5.85% | 0.66 | 0.48 |
Gold | 2.30% | 14.09% | 30.57% | -21.72% | -0.32 | 0.24 |
18. 1989~2008 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 8.23% | 19.82% | 35.79% | -37.04% | 1 | 0.75 |
Large Cap Value | 8.39% | 18.61% | 36.94% | -35.97% | 0.95 | 0.74 |
Large Cap Blend | 8.31% | 19.96% | 37.45% | -37.02% | 0.99 | 0.72 |
Large Cap Growth | 8.30% | 23.22% | 42.21% | -38.32% | 0.96 | 0.66 |
Small Cap Blend | 8.19% | 20.67% | 45.76% | -36.07% | 0.88 | 0.75 |
REIT | 8.76% | 20.53% | 35.65% | -37.05% | 0.52 | 0.49 |
Intl Stock Market | 4.44% | 22.01% | 40.34% | -44.10% | 0.75 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 3.34% | 20.89% | 38.67% | -41.27% | 0.75 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 10.73% | 35.39% | 74.07% | -52.81% | 0.59 | 0.84 |
Intl Pacific Region | -1.05% | 25.24% | 57.05% | -34.47% | 0.51 | 0.88 |
Intl Europe | 7.83% | 21.23% | 38.70% | -44.73% | 0.88 | 0.89 |
High Yield Bond | 5.76% | 10.71% | 29.01% | -21.29% | 0.77 | 0.64 |
Gold | 3.42% | 13.38% | 30.57% | -21.72% | -0.26 | 0.28 |
19. 1990~2009 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 8.24% | 19.83% | 35.79% | -37.04% | 1 | 0.76 |
Large Cap Value | 8.15% | 18.43% | 36.94% | -35.97% | 0.94 | 0.73 |
Large Cap Blend | 8.10% | 19.72% | 37.45% | -37.02% | 0.99 | 0.73 |
Large Cap Growth | 8.32% | 23.25% | 42.21% | -38.32% | 0.96 | 0.68 |
Small Cap Blend | 9.07% | 21.45% | 45.76% | -36.07% | 0.89 | 0.77 |
REIT | 9.72% | 20.94% | 35.65% | -37.05% | 0.56 | 0.53 |
Intl Stock Market | 5.19% | 22.88% | 40.34% | -44.10% | 0.76 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 4.11% | 21.48% | 38.67% | -41.27% | 0.77 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 11.12% | 36.31% | 75.98% | -52.81% | 0.59 | 0.87 |
Intl Pacific Region | -0.22% | 25.61% | 57.05% | -34.47% | 0.54 | 0.89 |
Intl Europe | 7.96% | 21.38% | 38.70% | -44.73% | 0.88 | 0.9 |
High Yield Bond | 6.63% | 11.08% | 29.01% | -21.29% | 0.83 | 0.69 |
Gold | 4.71% | 13.96% | 30.57% | -21.72% | -0.16 | 0.37 |
20. 1991~2010 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 9.44% | 19.50% | 35.79% | -37.04% | 1 | 0.75 |
Large Cap Value | 9.35% | 17.94% | 36.94% | -35.97% | 0.94 | 0.72 |
Large Cap Blend | 9.04% | 19.49% | 37.45% | -37.02% | 0.99 | 0.73 |
Large Cap Growth | 9.20% | 23.13% | 42.21% | -38.32% | 0.96 | 0.68 |
Small Cap Blend | 11.63% | 20.45% | 45.76% | -36.07% | 0.89 | 0.74 |
REIT | 12.04% | 20.21% | 35.65% | -37.05% | 0.53 | 0.47 |
Intl Stock Market | 7.03% | 21.82% | 40.34% | -44.10% | 0.75 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 5.93% | 20.30% | 38.67% | -41.27% | 0.76 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 12.73% | 35.71% | 75.98% | -52.81% | 0.57 | 0.86 |
Intl Pacific Region | 2.66% | 24.18% | 57.05% | -34.36% | 0.51 | 0.87 |
Intl Europe | 8.42% | 21.17% | 38.70% | -44.73% | 0.87 | 0.9 |
High Yield Bond | 7.58% | 10.69% | 29.01% | -21.29% | 0.82 | 0.66 |
Gold | 6.17% | 14.79% | 30.57% | -21.72% | -0.15 | 0.33 |
21. 1992~2011 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 7.89% | 18.83% | 35.79% | -37.04% | 1 | 0.76 |
Large Cap Value | 8.22% | 17.78% | 36.94% | -35.97% | 0.94 | 0.72 |
Large Cap Blend | 7.71% | 19.03% | 37.45% | -37.02% | 0.99 | 0.72 |
Large Cap Growth | 7.44% | 22.17% | 42.21% | -38.32% | 0.96 | 0.68 |
Small Cap Blend | 9.39% | 19.28% | 45.63% | -36.07% | 0.89 | 0.76 |
REIT | 10.81% | 19.59% | 35.65% | -37.05% | 0.5 | 0.46 |
Intl Stock Market | 5.26% | 22.32% | 40.34% | -44.10% | 0.76 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 4.62% | 20.78% | 38.67% | -41.27% | 0.78 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 8.97% | 35.29% | 75.98% | -52.81% | 0.54 | 0.88 |
Intl Pacific Region | 1.39% | 24.52% | 57.05% | -34.36% | 0.53 | 0.88 |
Intl Europe | 7.14% | 21.75% | 38.70% | -44.73% | 0.89 | 0.91 |
High Yield Bond | 6.59% | 9.50% | 20.13% | -21.29% | 0.81 | 0.67 |
Gold | 7.24% | 14.21% | 30.57% | -21.72% | -0.08 | 0.36 |
22. 1993~2012 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 8.20% | 18.89% | 35.79% | -37.04% | 1 | 0.77 |
Large Cap Value | 8.29% | 17.80% | 36.94% | -35.97% | 0.95 | 0.74 |
Large Cap Blend | 8.12% | 19.08% | 37.45% | -37.02% | 0.99 | 0.73 |
Large Cap Growth | 8.03% | 22.19% | 42.21% | -38.32% | 0.96 | 0.69 |
Small Cap Blend | 9.39% | 19.28% | 45.63% | -36.07% | 0.89 | 0.79 |
REIT | 10.96% | 19.62% | 35.65% | -37.05% | 0.5 | 0.47 |
Intl Stock Market | 6.62% | 22.09% | 40.34% | -44.10% | 0.77 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 6.20% | 20.44% | 38.67% | -41.27% | 0.8 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 9.34% | 35.29% | 75.98% | -52.81% | 0.54 | 0.89 |
Intl Pacific Region | 3.15% | 24.06% | 57.05% | -34.36% | 0.54 | 0.88 |
Intl Europe | 8.34% | 21.67% | 38.70% | -44.73% | 0.9 | 0.91 |
High Yield Bond | 6.59% | 9.50% | 20.13% | -21.29% | 0.82 | 0.73 |
Gold | 7.92% | 13.81% | 30.57% | -21.72% | -0.08 | 0.33 |
23. 1994~2013 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 9.23% | 19.60% | 35.79% | -37.04% | 1 | 0.8 |
Large Cap Value | 8.93% | 18.46% | 36.94% | -35.97% | 0.95 | 0.73 |
Large Cap Blend | 9.12% | 19.72% | 37.45% | -37.02% | 0.99 | 0.76 |
Large Cap Growth | 9.46% | 22.60% | 42.21% | -38.32% | 0.96 | 0.75 |
Small Cap Blend | 10.20% | 20.11% | 45.63% | -36.07% | 0.9 | 0.79 |
REIT | 10.10% | 19.69% | 35.65% | -37.05% | 0.45 | 0.46 |
Intl Stock Market | 5.63% | 21.02% | 40.34% | -44.10% | 0.8 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 5.76% | 19.92% | 38.67% | -41.27% | 0.84 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 6.07% | 32.64% | 75.98% | -52.81% | 0.53 | 0.86 |
Intl Pacific Region | 2.42% | 23.22% | 57.05% | -34.36% | 0.57 | 0.86 |
Intl Europe | 8.16% | 21.49% | 38.70% | -44.73% | 0.92 | 0.91 |
High Yield Bond | 5.94% | 9.14% | 20.13% | -21.29% | 0.81 | 0.69 |
Gold | 5.30% | 15.94% | 30.57% | -28.33% | -0.21 | 0.22 |
24. 1995~2014 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 9.88% | 19.42% | 35.79% | -37.04% | 1 | 0.8 |
Large Cap Value | 9.64% | 18.27% | 36.94% | -35.97% | 0.95 | 0.73 |
Large Cap Blend | 9.75% | 19.58% | 37.45% | -37.02% | 0.99 | 0.76 |
Large Cap Growth | 10.00% | 22.50% | 42.21% | -38.32% | 0.96 | 0.75 |
Small Cap Blend | 10.62% | 19.93% | 45.63% | -36.07% | 0.9 | 0.8 |
REIT | 11.40% | 19.97% | 35.65% | -37.05% | 0.44 | 0.42 |
Intl Stock Market | 5.12% | 21.19% | 40.34% | -44.10% | 0.8 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 5.06% | 20.14% | 38.67% | -41.27% | 0.83 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 6.52% | 32.45% | 75.98% | -52.81% | 0.52 | 0.86 |
Intl Pacific Region | 1.55% | 23.23% | 57.05% | -34.36% | 0.59 | 0.87 |
Intl Europe | 7.68% | 21.76% | 38.70% | -44.73% | 0.9 | 0.91 |
High Yield Bond | 6.27% | 8.95% | 20.13% | -21.29% | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Gold | 5.32% | 15.93% | 30.57% | -28.33% | -0.23 | 0.23 |
25. 1996~2015 | CAGR | Std.Dev. | Best Year | Worst Year | US Mkt Correlation | Intl Mkt Correlation |
US Stock Market | 8.23% | 18.72% | 33.35% | -37.04% | 1 | 0.83 |
Large Cap Value | 7.87% | 17.41% | 32.85% | -35.97% | 0.95 | 0.77 |
Large Cap Blend | 8.09% | 18.73% | 33.19% | -37.02% | 0.99 | 0.79 |
Large Cap Growth | 8.41% | 21.76% | 42.21% | -38.32% | 0.96 | 0.77 |
Small Cap Blend | 9.03% | 19.86% | 45.63% | -36.07% | 0.9 | 0.81 |
REIT | 10.74% | 20.12% | 35.65% | -37.05% | 0.46 | 0.43 |
Intl Stock Market | 4.40% | 21.34% | 40.34% | -44.10% | 0.83 | 1 |
Intl Developed Markets | 4.49% | 20.18% | 38.67% | -41.27% | 0.86 | 0.99 |
Emerging Markets | 5.62% | 32.91% | 75.98% | -52.81% | 0.58 | 0.87 |
Intl Pacific Region | 1.52% | 23.23% | 57.05% | -34.36% | 0.62 | 0.87 |
Intl Europe | 6.50% | 21.72% | 38.70% | -44.73% | 0.91 | 0.92 |
High Yield Bond | 5.27% | 8.62% | 20.13% | -21.29% | 0.79 | 0.74 |
Gold | 4.70% | 16.34% | 30.57% | -28.33% | -0.18 | 0.25 |
相關連結:
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